Tokyo Brandon
Event: (927) Los Angeles Angels at (928) Arizona Diamondbacks: Moneyline
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: June 16, 2026 9:40 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Los Angeles Angels -104 Action
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👉 Tokyo Brandon
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I have Detmers a top 5 MLB pitcher. After chocking the game yesterday I expect the Angels to bounce back today. They have the better bullpen and talent.
LAA @ ARI — 6/16/2026 Model Projection
Projected final score: LAA 4.6, ARI 4.2
Projected 1st 5 score: LAA 2.5, ARI 2.2
Best value: LAA moneyline +116 consensus / fair -113
Secondary value: ARI 1st 5 team total under 2.5, if -125 or better
The current expected matchup is Reid Detmers vs Merrill Kelly, with LAA 29-43 and ARI 36-35. The expected lineups are Zach Neto, Mike Trout, Wade Meckler, Jo Adell, Nolan Schanuel, Oswald Peraza, D. Guzman, D. Walton, Logan O’Hoppe for LAA; Ketel Marte, Corbin Carroll, Gabriel Moreno, Nolan Arenado, Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Ildemaro Vargas, Geraldo Perdomo, Jordan Lawlar, Tommy Troy for ARI.
Detmers has the better current pitcher profile: 4.00 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 81.0 IP, 97 K, 24 BB, 7 HR. Kelly’s current line is 5.46 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 64.1 IP, 38 K, 27 BB, 13 HR.
Detmers’ recent form is strong enough to keep ARI from a full lefty-mash ceiling: last 5 appearances, 31.2 IP, 17 H, 13 ER, 44 K, 7 BB. That is a major strikeout/traffic suppressor, even with ARI ranking 5th in OPS vs left-handed pitching at .763.
Kelly’s June has been volatile: 11.0 IP, 10 H, 9 ER, 5 BB, 5 K, 3 HR. His last 5 home appearances also show a 7.43 ERA, which pushes LAA above market expectation despite LAA’s mediocre full-season offense.
LAA’s full-season offense sits at .236 AVG, .707 OPS, 81 HR, 323 runs. ARI sits at .237 AVG, .691 OPS, 64 HR, 300 runs. ARI has the better season run-prevention profile, but the last-10 pitching form flips toward LAA: Angels rank 3rd over the last 10 games with a 3.30 team ERA and 1.22 WHIP, while Arizona ranks 23rd with a 5.13 ERA, 78 H, 49 ER, 36 BB in 86.0 IP.
1st 5 and full game projected boxscore
Team | 1st 5 runs | Full game runs | Hits | HR | BB | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LAA | 2.5 | 4.6 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 8.5 |
ARI | 2.2 | 4.2 | 8.0 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 6.5 |
Total | 4.7 | 8.8 | 16.1 | 1.9 | 5.5 | 15.0 |
1-30 rankings
Category | LAA | ARI |
|---|---|---|
Starting pitcher ERA + WHIP rank, 1 best / 30 worst | 13 | 25 |
Bullpen last 10 days ERA + WHIP rank, 1 best / 30 worst | 9 | 23 |
Lineup run production last 10 days, runs + wOBA rank, 1 best / 30 worst | 8 | 20 |
Released/revised 20 hour(s) ago
Tokyo Brandon
Event: (304605) Kiwoom Heroes at (304606) Samsung Lions: Total
Sport/League: KBO (See all free KBO League picks)
Date/Time: June 17, 2026 5:30 AM EDT
Free KBO League Pick Today: Total Under 11.0 (-132)
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Kiwoom Heroes vs Samsung Lions
Projection: Samsung 5.2, Kiwoom 3.4
Market | Projection | Consensus | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
Kiwoom ML | 36% / fair +178 | +162 | -5.7% EV |
Samsung ML | 64% / fair -178 | -196 | -3.3% EV |
Total | 8.6 | 11 | Over by 2.4 runs |
Why: Samsung has the massive lineup edge: .273 BA, 4.16 ERA, 62 HR, while Kiwoom is last with a .233 BA and only 38 HR. Park Jun-hyun is not a bad underdog starter at 1-2, 3.51 and 0.00 vs Samsung, but Samsung’s offensive/defensive/team context is much stronger. Choi Won-tae’s season ERA is 4.83, but his Kiwoom split is strong at 1-0, 1.42.
Form/bullpen read: Samsung winning 5 straight home games and Kiwoom losing 4 of its last 5 away. Samsung is the right side, but the moneyline price is already close to fair.
Released/revised 13 minute(s) ago
Tokyo Brandon
Event: (304475) Olmecas de Tabasco at (304476) Saraperos de Saltillo: Moneyline
Sport/League: BSB (See all free Baseball picks)
Date/Time: June 16, 2026 9:30 PM EDT
Free All Baseball Pick Today: Olmecas de Tabasco -151
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Projected score: Tabasco 6, Saltillo 3.
Category | Tabasco / Olmecas | Saltillo / Saraperos | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
Record | 32–19 | 18–30 | Tabasco |
Last-10 form | 7–3, W3 | 5–5, W3 | Tabasco |
Hitting rank | #4 — 6.08 runs/game | #16 — 4.60 runs/game | Tabasco big |
Bullpen/run-prevention rank* | #3 — 4.65 runs allowed/game | #8 — 5.31 runs allowed/game | Tabasco |
Starter | Austin Warner, LHP: 6–0, 2.62 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 29 K / 34.1 IP | Bryant Salgado, RHP: 1–1, 8.00 ERA, 9.0 IP, 11 H, 8 ER, 4 BB | Tabasco huge |
*Bullpen rank note: I’m using team runs allowed per game as the cleanest public bullpen/run-prevention proxy. Tabasco is at 310 runs scored / 237 allowed and Saltillo at 221 scored / 255 allowed, which drives the ranks above.
Starting pitcher mismatch is the main handicap. Warner has been excellent: unbeaten, low ERA, good WHIP, and enough strikeouts to keep Saltillo from stringing big innings together. Salgado’s sample is smaller, but 8 earned runs in 9 innings against a top-four scoring offense is a bad matchup.
Recent form is not one-sided, though. Tabasco just finished a sweep of Rieleros and is in strong form, but Saltillo also swept Veracruz for its first sweep of the season. Saltillo’s bullpen has been better lately, including relief work that held Veracruz down late in back-to-back wins, so the Saraperos are not dead here if Salgado can survive the first 3–4 innings.
My bet: Tabasco full game, stronger on the first five because of Warner. Saltillo’s home field and recent bullpen form keep this from being a 9–2 type projection, but the offense + starter gap points clearly to Olmecas.
Final: Tabasco 6, Saltillo 3.
Released/revised 55 minute(s) ago
Rob Vinciletti
Event: (225293) Croatia at (225294) England: Total
Sport/League: WCUP (See all free World Cup picks)
Date/Time: June 17, 2026 4:00 PM EDT
Free World Cup Pick Today: Total Under 2.5 (-140)
Hump Day Card has a TOP Rated World Cup Side and WNBA Headlining
The Wednesday comp play is on the Under 2.5 goals in the Croatia vs England match at 4 eastern. Look for a low scoring game here as both teams are solid on the back line. England plays the toughest game in Group L in their opener against a Croatia team that beat them 8 years ago. in the World Cup. In their last meeting England came away with a 1-0 win England comes in with a +22 goal differential in Qualifiers and will be tough here. However we expect Both teams will struggle to score and the under 2.5 looks very enticing in what can be a 1-0 or 1-1 potential final. Play this game under 2.5 goals. GL Rob V
Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago
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Rocky Atkinson
Event: (927) Los Angeles Angels at (928) Arizona Diamondbacks: Moneyline
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: June 16, 2026 9:40 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Los Angeles Angels -106 Reid Detmers (LHP), Merrill Kelly (RHP) Must Start
Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Tuesday 6-16-26
LA Angels @ Arizona (9:40 PM EST)
Play On: LA Angels -104 (Detmers/Kelly) Listed
The Los Angeles Angles take on the Diamondbacks in Arizona on Tuesday night. The LA Angels are 29-44 SU overall this year while Arizona comes in with a 37-35 SU overall record on the season. The Angels are 4-2 last 6 games overall. Arizona is 1-5 last 6 games against American League opponents. Arizona is 1-5 last 6 games against AL West Division opponents. Merrill Kelly is 2-2 with a 7.66 ERA at home this year. We'll recommend a small play on the LA Angels tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Rocketman is off a NO PLAY last night due to a pitching change! Rocketman is documented hitting 62% in MLB this year! Rocky Atkinson has his MLB PLAY OF THE DAY going Tuesday. One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 340-278 55% MLB run over his last 640 picks! Join the same handicapper that has made $1,000/game bettors $22,200 since May 05, 2016 with his Money Line on Pirates v. A's!
Released/revised 7 hour(s) ago
Oskeim Sports
Event: (605) Seattle Storm at (606) Portland Fire: Spread
Sport/League: WNBA (See all free WNBA Basketball picks)
Date/Time: June 17, 2026 10:00 PM EDT
Free WNBA Basketball Pick Today: Seattle Storm +2.5 (-106)
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Despite an eight-game losing streak, Seattle has shown signs of life recently, losing by just five points to Los Angeles and four points to Golden State last week. Veteran guard Natisha Hiedeman has emerged as a stabilizing force, averaging 21.0 points and 5.0 assists over those two contests, while rookie Flau'jae Johnson has continued to impress with 11.6 points and 5.0 rebounds per game. Just as importantly, center Dominique Malonga has returned from a concussion and is averaging 16.0 points and 7.3 rebounds, giving the Storm a legitimate interior presence. While Seattle remains a rebuilding team without injured star Ezi Magbegor, the roster is healthier and more competitive than its record suggests. From a technical standpoint, WNBA teams coming off six or more consecutive losses are 117-83-8 ATS (58.5%), including 66-40-3 ATS (62.3%) since 2021, covering the spread by an average margin of 2.2 points per game. Against a fellow expansion franchise, the Storm have enough veteran leadership and emerging young talent to snap their losing streak and deliver a strong performance on Wednesday night. Take Seattle as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, June 17.
PROVEN PERFORMANCE
-> Red-Hot 43-21 (67.2%) Run | +46.1 Units
-> #1 Overall Capper in '26: 171-116 | +97 Units
-> #1 Basketball in '25-26: 120-81 | +93.3 Units
Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago
Mark Zinno
Event: (919) Baltimore Orioles at (920) Seattle Mariners: Total
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: June 16, 2026 9:40 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Over 7.5 (-110) Brandon Young (RHP), Logan Gilbert (RHP) Must Start
I broke this game down on the Morning Wager with Bryan Power on Picks & Parlays YouTube, linked here:
Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago
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MASSIVE TUESDAY NIGHT MLB BEST BET! 70% RUN L2 WEEKS!: $ 7.00
Zinno in absolutely on fire again! Another no sweat winner last night with Reds and he's now won six straight MLB plays! Zinno is also 12-6 since the start of June! He's got two plays on the MLB card tonight. Don't miss this chance to grab more winners from one of the hottest handicappers at the site!
Bryan Leonard
Event: (929) Tampa Bay Rays at (930) Los Angeles Dodgers: Moneyline
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: June 16, 2026 10:10 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Tampa Bay Rays 130 Drew Rasmussen (RHP), Justin Wrobleski (LHP) Must Start
929 Tampa Bay at LA Dodgers
Despite Wrobleski’s start to the season, we still can’t see his success continuing. His actual numbers have been so much better than his advanced stats, that his regression is inevitable. Tampa Bay has the type of hitters that will wait him out and make him work.
Drew Rasmussen is our man crush. Every season his year end numbers are elite, but injuries have stood in his way in making him a household name. Tampa gave the Dodgers all they could handle yesterday, we expect them to get over the hump tonight.
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Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago
Nick Parsons
Event: (929) Tampa Bay Rays at (930) Los Angeles Dodgers: Total
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: June 16, 2026 10:10 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Under 8.5 (-115) Drew Rasmussen (RHP), Justin Wrobleski (LHP) Must Start
This is a FREE PLAY on the UNDER Rays/Dodgers.
The Dodgers won this interleague series-opener by a score of 4-3 last night, and I'm expecting runs to once again be at a premium this evening with Drew Rasmussen squaring off against Justin Wrobleski.
Rasmussen is 6-2 with a 2.71 ERA and 0.88 WHIP, while Wrobleski is 7-2 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.
Note that Rasmussen has been particularly sharp on the road this year as well going 2-1 with a 2.59 ERA.
This number is a bit high in my opinion, consider the UNDER.
Good luck, NP
Released/revised 13 hour(s) ago
Ricky Tran
Event: (925) Pittsburgh Pirates at (926) Oakland Athletics: Total
Sport/League: MLB (See all free Major League Baseball picks)
Date/Time: June 16, 2026 9:40 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Over 10.5 (-120) Action
Ricky's play on Over.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- The Over is 15-4 in Pittsburgh's last 19 games.
- The Over is 4-2 in Athletics' last 6 games against an opponent in the National League Central Division.
- The Over is 6-1 in Pittsburgh's last 7 games against an opponent in the American League.
Verdict: We should see plenty of Runs in this game.
Released/revised 17 hour(s) ago
Ben Burns
Event: (225289) Jordan at (225290) Austria: Spread
Sport/League: WCUP (See all free World Cup picks)
Date/Time: June 17, 2026 12:00 AM EDT
Free World Cup Pick Today: Austria -1.5 (-100)
Austria should be able to have its way with Jordan on Tuesday. Loaded with top level European talent, the Austrians cruised through UEFA qualifying, conceding only four goals in eight matches. Jordan is playing in its first ever World Cup. This was already going to be a very tough game. However, it became far more difficult with the loss of their top attacking threat, Yazan Al-Naimat. He was injured in December but there had still been hope that he might be ready for this tournament. He isn't. While Jordan does still have some quality offensive players, its defense is highly suspect. In a group which includes Algeria, Argentina and Austria, Jordan won't be advancing past the opening round and is very likely going 0-3. Tuesday will provide a glimpse at how over-matched the Jordanians really are. Play Austria *good at -1.5 up to -125
Released/revised 1 day(s) ago
Dan Kaiser 
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