Take Toronto ' Milwaukee UNDER (#711-712)
The Bucks and Raptors have played four times since the calendar turned to 2017. Three of the four games stayed Under the total, producing 195 points or less. The only Over cash ' in Game 2 of this series ' came, in large part, due to uncharacteristically good three point shooting. Milwaukee and Toronto combined to hit 25-52 from three point range in that contest, both squads exceeding their season long three point shooting percentage by double digit margins. That allowed an Over cash despite a relatively slow pace, just like Game 1.
Toronto's gameplan on the highway has been very consistent down the stretch. Dwane Casey wants to avoid turnovers like the plague, and play a half-court game on both ends of the floor. The Raptors were a Top 5 defensive team in the NBA after the All Star Break, and they are a team that doesn't look to push the pace on offense, very comfortable in their halfcourt sets. No surprise, then, that the Raptors are 16-5 to the Under in their last 21 on the highway.
The Raptors hung 106 on Milwaukee when these teams met on Tuesday, and Jason Kidd was not amused, stressing defense to his team in practice and in his media sessions. It's surely worth noting that the Bucks are 16-4-1 to the Under in their last 21 tries after their opponent hung 100+ against them. And with Toronto finding an effective way to defense Giannis Antetokounmpo in Game 2, don't expect the Bucks offense to be particularly 'free flowing' tonight, helping this Game 3 stay Under the total with room to spare. Take the Under.