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College Football Betting Preview: Virginia Cavaliers at Miami Hurricanes

11.17.2017     10:03 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Virginia at Miami
Saturday, 9 am PT - ABC
CRIS Opener: Miami -17 O/U 50.5
CRIS Current: Miami -18.5 O/U 50.5
Recommendation: Virginia

Prior to beating Virginia Tech and Notre Dame, Miami posted narrow wins over Florida State (24-20), Georgia Tech (25-24), Syracuse (27-19), and North Carolina (24-19). Combined, those teams are currently 14-24. And from a power rating perspective, you could certainly lump Virginia into that mix. The Cavaliers actually beat UNC on the road and GT at home.

The Cavaliers aren't without issues. For starters, the ACC slate has been favorable. No Clemson, no NC State, no Virginia Tech (last game of the year), and obviously no Miami up until this point. And in a small step up in class last week, UVA lost at Louisville 38-21 (the box score suggested the Cardinals should have won by more).

But I feel the main issue here is the spot for the Hurricanes. Last week's game against Notre Dame was one of the biggest of the entire college football season and Miami came up aces. Now at 9-0, Miami has two very winnable games vs. Virginia and at Pitt before playing in the already determined ACC Championship vs. Clemson. And we should also mention the ridiculous turnover margin Miami has posted this year (+15, 24 gained) and of late (+10, 16 gained last four games). No matter how much emphasis is placed on picks and strips, those numbers simply aren't sustainable. If Virginia can find a way to hold on to the football, this is a number they should cover.

Tags: College Football Virginia Cavaliers Miami Hurricanes ACC OTTO Sports

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