Old Dominion at North TexasSaturday, 3:30 pm PT - ESPN3CRIS Opener:
North Texas -10 O/U 66CRIS Current:
North Texas -11 O/U 61.5Recommendation:
There is a massive class difference between these two offenses as North Texas currently leads C-USA in total offense (487.9 ypg) and yards per play (6.68). Quarterback Mason Fine has already topped the 2,000-yard mark, receivers Jalen Guyton and Michael Lawrence have 30+ catches, and running back Jeffrey Wilson is well on his way to 1,000-yard season. This is an offense that posted 6.63 yards per play against Iowa; a mark that no team
not even Penn State
topped against the Hawkeyes.
Old Dominion has topped 5.50 yards per play only once this season; an offense that features little to no passing game (92.8 team QB Rating) and a hit-or-miss run game (200+ yards twice, sub-100 yards three times). The Monarchs are attempting to survive with 17-year-old quarterback Steven Williams who is averaging an interception every 15 pass attempts. Defensively, ODU has coughed up 35+ in each of its last four games. Statistically, ODU’s stop unit does have slightly better numbers compared to North Texas. But last week's loss to FAU (804 total yards, 9.69 ypp) obviously skewed the Mean Green's overall body of work.
The talent gap in this matchup is significant and off of that embarrassing showing against Kiffin's crew, I expect North Texas to fire back in a big way. They have the perfect opponent to accomplish that feat as the points are well worth laying in this matchup.