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MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Miami Marlins at Seattle Mariners

04.17.2017     12:16 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly

Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Miami (Koehler) +133 at Seattle (Miranda) O/U 8
Recommendation: Miami

Long distance road trip for the Marlins starts tonight as they play the first of a six game west coast stint in Seattle. Confidence breeding three consecutive weekend wins over division rival New York figures to help Miami begin this away test. Seattle enjoyed the same weekend productivity as the came out of an early season slump to sweep the Texas Rangers and climb out of the AL West cellar. The sweep really gave a boost to their struggling offense as the posted a slash line of .305/.421/.505/.926.

Tonight’s matchup pits the Marlins explosive RH bats against Mariners 28-year-old lefty Ariel Miranda. Miranda has opened the season with a pair of nondescript outing versus the potent Houston Astros lineup producing game WHIP’s of 1.60 and 1.59 and not making through the sixth inning in either. Anticipate the same types of problems here and his 15 HRs allowed in just 68.2 career innings are cause for concern as well. His mound opponent RH Tom Koehler is off to his predictably consistent start. For the most part over 30 season starts you expect a six inning three runs allowed effort and through his pair of outings he’s totaled 11 IP and 4 ER allowed. He too has had some difficulty with the long ball yielding three HR’s thus far. Seattle has capable LH bats but up to this point their line against right handers is a paltry .232/.302/.373/.675.

Hesitant to play the Mariners right now due to the continued slow start of what is considered to be their top three hitters Nelson Cruz, Robinson Cano, Kyle Seager. With SS and leadoff hitter Jean Segura still on the 10-day DL and off season acquisition Danny Valencia off to a .174/.220/.261/.481 start, the Mariners are currently relying on starting pitching and bullpen. Tonight, statistical indicators suggest that Miami is better in all categories so the underdog price of +133 looks to be worth taking.

Tags: MLB Miami Marlins Seattle Mariners Rob Veno




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