Louisiana Tech -6 at UTEP O/U 133.5
Pretty remarkable turnaround for UTEP after starting the season 2-13. The Miners have won six of seven thanks to some savvy coaching by veteran Tim Floyd. Floyd slowed down the tempo of the games and created a lot of confusion for the opposition by constantly switching defenses. Over the last seven games, UTEP has allowed 58 ppg in regulation. This is the same team that in mid-December coughed up 76 in a home loss to 327th-ranked Northern Arizona. Louisiana Tech isn't as offensively dynamic as last year's squad that scored 78 and 80 in both meetings vs. UTEP. Instead, the Bulldogs have been getting it done on the defensive end of the floor with the league's third-best defensive efficiency (0.94). They've been especially dominant against the weaker offenses in C-USA. Tech has faced four of the five teams in the league currently averaging less than a point per possession and held those four squads to 56.3 ppg. One of those four was UTEP, who netted only 44 in the first meeting. What keeps this from being a great play is the value as the aforementioned game closed 141. And Louisiana Tech is also the first team to get a second look at UTEP's revolving door of defenses. Still, with the Miners on their home floor they can control tempo and stay within striking distance of what projects to be another grinder. Play it under.