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January

16

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NFL Playoff Gambling: Betting public on New England despite double-digit pointspread

01.11.2018     11:33 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Under Bill Belichick, the New England Patriots have been consistent profit producers. Including the postseason, the Patriots are 185-128-9 (59.1%) against the spread. But as the pointspread climbs, the results aren't nearly as strong. As a favorite of -7 or more, 66-61-4 (52.0%). And as double-digit favorites, like they are against the Tennessee on Saturday, 27-30-1 (47.4%). But that hasn't stopped the betting public from offering their support. According to Bookmaker.eu, 70% of bets taken have been on the Patriots.




Tags: NFL New England Patriots Tennessee Titans




NFL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: New York Jets at New England Patriots

12.30.2017     06:51 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
NY Jets at New England
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener: New England -16 o/U 46
CRIS Current: New England -14.5 O/U 43.5
Recommendation: New England

Incredibly, the New England Patriots are STILL an undervalued commodity at this stage of the campaign and at this stage of the franchise trajectory. Sure, the Pats won their fifth Super Bowl title in the Brady/Belichick era last February. Sure, the Pats are on pace to snare another #1 seed in the AFC with a victory here — this is most assuredly NOT a meaningless game for the home favorite. If they lose, they probably head to Pittsburgh for the AFC Championship Game, and I’m SURE that’s motivation enough. And yet the markets have been consistently behind New England’s capabilities all season, just like they’ve been in every recent season.

The Patriots went 13-3 ATS last year and covered the spread in all three of their playoff wins as well. This year, following their 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS start, guess what — the Pats have been the best pointspread team in football. They’re 8-1 Read more



Tags: NFL New York Jets New England Patriots Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: Kansas City Chiefs a rare home underdog to Los Angeles Chargers

12.12.2017     09:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The last time the Kansas Chiefs closed as a home underdog was 2014 when they were catching +3 to the New England Patriots who went on to win the Super Bowl. KC won that game 41-14. As of this morning, the Chiefs are +1.5 to the Los Angeles Chargers. Both teams have undergone massive power rating adjustments over the last month.

Kansas City's Pointspreads at home
Week 15: +1.5 vs. San Diego
Week 14: -4.5 vs. Oakland
Week 12: -8.5 vs. Buffalo
Week 8: -7 vs. Denver
Week 6: -3.5 vs. Pittsburgh
Week 4: -6.5 vs. Washington
Week 2: -4 vs. Philadelphia

Los Angeles' Pointspreads on the road
Week 15: -1.5 at Kansas City
Week 12: -1 at Dallas
Week 10: +5 at Jacksonville
Week 8: +6.5 at New England
Week 6: +3 at Oakland
Week 5: +3 at NY Giants
Week 1: +3 at Denver

Also note, Kansas City closed -3.5 at LA in Week 3 and won 24-10.




Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs Los Angeles Chargers




NFL Handicapper Free Betting Pick: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

12.01.2017     01:00 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England at Buffalo
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener: New England -9 O/U 49
CRIS Current: New England -9 O/U 48
Recommendation: New England

For the second consecutive season, the New England Patriots are, incredibly, an UNDER-valued commodity in the betting markets. Last year, despite their ‘public’ nature and their Super Bowl winning caliber roster, the wiseguys faded New England (and lost fading New England) week after week. The Pats finished the season with a truly remarkable 15-3-1 ATS record, including an 8-1 ATS mark on the highway.

It’s been more of the same here in 2017. The Patriots statistical profile hasn’t been pretty from Day 1, when New England got slapped around on their home field against Kansas City. Their full, season long numbers show a mediocre ballclub that allows 6.1 yards per play on defense (tied with Tampa for dead last in the NFL), unable to stop the run (4.9 yards per carry allowed, also tied for last in the NFL) and mediocre against the pass.

Those numbers are flat out lying, and that’s Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Buffalo Bills Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: SuperContest consensus all in on Eagles and Patriots

11.18.2017     09:03 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top five consensus plays for Week 11 from the Westgate SuperBook's famed SuperContest.

1. PHILADELPHIA -3.5 at Dallas
2. NEW ENGLAND -6.5 vs. Oakland
3. DETROIT -2.5 at Chicago
4. MINNESOTA vs. LA Rams
5. NEW ORLEANS -7.5 vs. Washington

Least picked Sunday side: ARIZONA pk at Houston




Tags: NFL SuperContest




NFL Gambling: Kansas City vs. New England, Offshore vs. Las Vegas

09.07.2017     12:40 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
So there's a NFL regular season game going on tonight with Kansas City taking on New England in Foxboro. Somewhat divided opinions with offshore sportsbooks leaning towards the Chiefs and Las Vegas sportsbooks all but saying we don't want any more action on the Patriots. According to Sports Options, 51% of the betting public is on the favorite and 51% is on the over; two relatively low marks considering the matchup.

Offshore Market
Pinnacle: New England -8-02
Matchbook: New England -8ev
Greek: New England -8-05

Las Vegas Market
Golden Nugget: New England -9.5
Jerry's: New England -9.5
Wynn, Stations, Coasts: New England -9
Westgate: New England -8.5




Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs New England Patriots Las Vegas




NFL Gambling: New England Patriots favored in every game according to CG Technology

05.11.2017     10:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
From one extreme to another, yesterday we discussed how the Cleveland Browns were underdogs in every game but one (pick 'em vs. NY Jets) according to CG Technology's early NFL lines. Here we have the defending Super Bowl champion New England Patriots laying points in EVERY regular season game (note that Week 17's game are not lined). Last season, the Patriots were underdogs in Week 1 to Arizona but were without the services of Tom Brady. Two weeks later, they closed a pick 'em vs. Houston (again, no Tom Brady). Overall, if you include the playoffs, New England was on average a -7 favorite. This year right at -6.5.

Week 1 - New England -7 vs. Kansas City
Week 2 - New England -4.5 at New
Week 3 - New England -9 vs. Houston
Week 4 - New England -9 vs. Carolina
Week 5 - New England -3 at Tampa Bay
Week 6 - New England -9.5 at NY Jets
Week 7 - New England -6.5 vs. Atlanta
Week 8 - New England -12 vs. LA Chargers
Week 9 - BYE
Week 10 - New England -3 at Denver
Week 11 - New England -1.5 vs. Oakland (Mexico City)
Week 12 - New England -9 vs. Miami
Week 13 - New England -7 at Buffalo
Week 14 - New England -4 at Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Las Vegas




Sportsbook gets burnt thanks to Patriots' love of "heads"

02.09.2017     08:56 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Funny story about Bookmaker hanging a bad number despite New England's propensity to call "heads" on the coin toss.


SIEGEL: Bookmaker.eu, based in Costa Rica, posted even odds on the Patriots coin toss for about 48 hours last week. That was more than enough time for professional gamblers to notice and to bet heavily on heads.

MCEVERS: Scott Cooley is a representative for Bookmaker. He says they took the bet off the board as soon as they realized what was going on. They eventually reposted it at more favorable odds, but the damage was done. All that was left was to wait for the inevitable.

SCOTT COOLEY: We were sitting around watching the coin toss hoping they might divert from the norm and call tails, but, alas, it did not happen.

MCEVERS: Cooley says the mistake cost Bookmaker somewhere in the low five figures, but they're taking it all in stride.

COOLEY: We're odd makers. That's our business. But we're human. We make mistakes. And, you know, when there's people to capitalize on it,

Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots




Super Bowl LI Gambling: Vegas sportsbooks indicate small profit

02.06.2017     09:50 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Word around Las Vegas is that Super Bowl LI was a "small" win for the sportsbooks. The action on the game was fairly balanced but what hurt was all of the plus-price in-game wagers on New England. The good news for the books was that the game didn't land 3.


“In-play was the killer. That was, by far, the worst thing that ever happened,” William Hill sports book director Nick Bogdanovich said. “Everybody was taking the big plus price on New England when they were down 28-3.

 “Any time a real good team gets down in any sport, it’s always bad. And you magnify it on the Patriots in the Super Bowl. They had infinite opportunities to take them on the money line, to take a little to make a lot.”






Tags: NFL New England Patriots Atlanta Falcons Super Bowl LI Las Vegas




Super Bowl LI Betting: New England Patriots were as high as +18.5 in-game

02.06.2017     09:41 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Well, that was a wild game. Let's take a look at New England's in-game line progression at Pinnacle.

-3+111
pk-116
-2.5-104
-3+106
pk-101
+3-112
+4.5+101
+7.5-108
+14.5-118
+13.5-109
+18.5-101 < peak
+14.5+101
+16.5+116
+12.5-101
+7.5+112
pk+269
pk-170




Tags: NFL New England Patriots Atlanta Falcons Super Bowl LI



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January

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