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NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Atlanta Hawks at Indiana Pacers

03.09.2018     01:29 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Atlanta at Indiana -8.5 O/U 212
Recommendation: Indiana

It’s circle the wagons time in Indianapolis tonight as the hungry Pacers take on the bottom-feeder Hawks. Indiana is coming off a humiliating home loss to Utah on Wednesday Night; a 20 point defeat in which Nate McMillan’s squad hit only 3-23 from three point range while allowing the Jazz to hit better than 51% from the floor. The Pacers lost at Atlanta just last week in a flat, lethargic effort. And the quotes coming out of this locker room have bet-on written all over them.

Pacers center Myles Turner, their lone offensive bright spot in the loss to Utah: “It's a game we got to take personally. We're at home. We just got beat by 20 at our crib, that can't happen. We got to take that frustration into this game."

Pacers forward Trevor Booker noted what happened last week: “If you look at Atlanta, they are at the bottom, but you have to overlook that because they've been actually playing well lately. They've been moving the ball well and they beat us last time we played them. So we're going to be coming out and trying to avenge that Read more

Tags: NBA Atlanta Hawks Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers

NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Indiana Pacers at Brooklyn Nets

02.14.2018     10:19 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Indiana -4 at Brooklyn O/U 212.5
Recommendation: Indiana

Very quietly, waaaaaaay underneath the radar, the Indiana Pacers are playing their best basketball of the season heading into the All-Star break. Indiana has won its last two, including an impressive road win at Boston. They’ve won seven of their last ten overall; 13-6 in their last 19 contests; a stretch that includes SU road wins at Utah, San Antonio and Phoenix as well as that win against the Celtics.

There were some initial concerns about the chemistry between players and management after Indiana stood pat at the trading deadline, unable to give the team a boost in their push towards the playoffs. Quotes like this one from Thaddeus Young make it VERY clear that any chemistry concerns are vastly overblown:

"We were just excited they decided to keep this thing together and let us keep getting better. Right after the game (vs. the Knicks on Sunday), (GM Chad Buchanon) texted us and said, 'Great win. But it's not over. We still have one game before the All-Star break,' and we all responded right then and there. It's like I said, this is one of Read more

Tags: NBA Indiana Pacers Brooklyn Nets Teddy Covers

NBA Gambling Update: Desperation sets in as Cleveland Cavaliers make lineup change

01.26.2018     07:09 AM     Printer Friendly

The last time we checked in on the Cleveland Cavaliers they were in the midst of a historic 1-13 ATS slide. It's now 1-14 after Tuesday's 114-102 loss at San Antonio. During their two-day break, head coach Tyronn Lue announced a lineup change. Jae Crowder will play with the second unit, Tristan Thompson gets the nod at center, and Kevin Love moves over to power forward. Back in action tonight vs. Indiana, the Cavs have been bet up from -4 to -6.

 “That’s part of life,” he said. “But at the end of the day when we’re between these lines, we got to play for one another and that’s all that matters. I don’t care if X don’t like X off the court. ... As long as you’re on the court playing hard and playing for each other, that’s all that matters to me. We don’t got to

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Tags: NBA Cleveland Cavaliers Indiana Pacers

NBA Gambling News: Cleveland can't guard and thus can't cover pointspreads

01.12.2018     09:31 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Looks like were in the midst of a mid-season Cleveland Cavaliers swoon. After ripping off an 18-1 run, the Cavs started a hellacious stretch of 10 out of 12 on the highway. They took down the Wizards on December 17 but proceeded to lose seven of their next 10 while covering only one pointspread during that span. The last two efforts have been particularly alarming. On Monday they were hammered at Minnesota, 127-99, and managed to top it with a 133-99 loss to Toronto last night. Cleveland currently sports the worst ATS record in the league at 12-28-1. Tonight's game at Indiana marks the finale of the road swing. The Cavs opened -1 and were bet up to -2.5.

"We've got to be better," Lue said after the Cavs lost for the seventh time in the past 10 games. "We know that. But until we play better defensively, I think offensively sharing the basketball, everyone on the same page -- and if guys have agendas, we've got to get rid of our agendas and play the right way."

Asked what he meant by "agendas," Lue

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Tags: NBA Cleveland Cavaliers Indiana Pacers

NBA Gambling News: Cleveland vows to shore up leaky defense

11.01.2017     09:57 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
A little early in the NBA season for a "team meeting", no? The Cleveland Cavaliers are 3-4 (1-6 ATS) and 28th in the league in defensive efficiency. They've allowed 115 ppg over their last five games; three of which came against New York, Brooklyn, and Chicago. After two off days, the Cavs (-10) play host to Indiana tonight. The total was bet down from 218.5 to 216.5.

“The slow start that we’ve had prompted us to just all get on the same page and kind of figure out what we need to do,” center Kevin Love said. “I feel like we can get in better shape, that’s going to help us on the defensive end. Communication, energy and just getting the new guys adjusted. So time will tell how it’s going to play out, but we have a lot of really good positive energy from today, so, it was a great practice.” 

Tags: NBA Cleveland Cavaliers Indiana Pacers

NBA Handicapping: Players resting and big line moves highlight final day of regular season

04.12.2017     11:44 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It's the final day of the NBA regular season and while nearly every playoff seed and matchup has been determined the eighth seed in the Eastern Conference is still up go grabs. Chicago, who plays host to Brooklyn, own the tiebreaker over Miami, who plays host to Washington. Unlike most lottery teams, the Nets haven't been in tank mode due to their draft pick being sent elsewhere. However, they decided tonight would be a good opportunity to rest some of their key players. This pushed the Bulls up from -9 to -14.5 favorites. The Wizards are sitting a bunch of guys as well but even if the Heat win (-8.5 to -11.5), a Bulls victory means Miami is out. Indiana sits a game ahead of both Chicago and Miami and should have any easy go of it against an Atlanta squad that is resting its starters. The Pacers were bet up from -7.5 to -14.5. 

Tags: NBA Miami Heat Chicago Bulls Indiana Pacers

NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Washington Wizards at Indiana Pacers

02.16.2017     10:44 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Washington at Indiana +3 O/U 215
Recommendation: Indiana

I haven’t bet against Washington since the calendar turned to 2017.  But this is the spot to fade the Wizards, and the markets seem to be convinced that the Pacers are going to go into the All-Star Break in the midst of a six-game skid.  That gives us ample value to back Indiana as a home dog this evening.

In theory, this is a great spot for Washington.  The Pacers have lost five straight, including a defensive no-show in Cleveland last night; the fifth straight game that Indiana has allowed at least 110 points.  Meanwhile, the Wizards are rested and ready – they’ve only played once since last Friday, a blowout win over OKC that was garbage time by the middle of the third quarter.

But as we clearly saw last night with the Houston-Miami game, an extended rest BEFORE the All-Star Break is not necessarily a good thing – teams lose their focus.  The Rockets were in the exact same spot at the Wizards – coming off a rare, extended rest, having played only one game since last week, a blowout win.  Washington has been as Read more

Tags: NBA Washington Wizards Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers

NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards

02.10.2017     09:31 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Indiana at Washington -5.5 O/U 214.5
Recommendation: Washington

John Wall and Bradley Beal did a very classy thing following the conclusion of their 17-0 SU run at home, losing to the Cavs in overtime on Monday.  The Wizards backcourt duo put together an Instagram post thanking Washington’s fans and promising another win streak upcoming: “We just wanted to thank all of the Wizards fans or giving us one of the best homecourts in the NBA.  The atmosphere last night was amazing, the best since we’ve been in DC…we’re in this together so we’re counting on you to continue that tremendous support on Friday when we look to start a new streak…”

The Wizards weren’t sharp at Brooklyn following their loss to the Cavs; lucky to escape with an overtime win.  Head coach Scott Brooks: “Two things happened tonight: We gambled because we wanted to go for steals for layups, and we didn't box out. Brooklyn got offensive rebounds, and that was the game. That gave them a chance every time we had the lead by 10 to 12 points. ... We're glad we got the win, but we still have to Read more

Tags: NBA Indiana Pacers Washington Wizards Teddy Covers

NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Indiana Pacers at Portland Trail Blazers

11.30.2016     11:16 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Indiana at Portland -7.5 O/U 209.5
Recommendation: Portland

The Blazers have been a major early season disappointment.  After finishing with the #5 seed in the West last year, Portland is just 9-10 SU, 6-13 ATS to open the new campaign.  That includes six losses in their last eight games.  Twice in their last three contests, the Blazers have allowed their opponent to score 130+ against them! 

Less than 12 hours following the latest loss – at home against Houston on Sunday – head coach Terry Stotts had his team back on the practice floor.  All Star point guard Damian Lillard: “This is the first time we've had a real practice in what seems like forever. It was good for us to try to sharpen up, (to have) coaches challenge us. It's to the point now where our pride has to kick in. We have to show how much we actually care about ... being better defensively."

Lillard continued: "We scored 125 points against Cleveland. That's a lot of points to score and not win a game. Right now, we're not getting it done on the defensive end. That's what it comes down to.”

Shooting Read more

Tags: NBA Indiana Pacers Portland Trail Blazers Teddy Covers

NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Philadephia 76ers at Indiana Pacers

11.09.2016     08:59 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Philadelphia +11.5 at Indiana O/U 210
Recommendation: Philadelphia

Indiana has no business as double digit chalk right now, even against the worst team in the NBA.  Don’t listen to my word – let Paul George tell you himself: “We’re all out of whack. There’s no trust, there’s no chemistry, there’s no belief. We’re kind of just lifeless right now.”

This team bought into Frank Vogel’s message throughout his tenure as Indiana’s head coach.  The first few weeks of the Nate McMillan era hasn’t produced anywhere near that same level of internal chemistry.  McMillan is trying to cobble together cohesive rotations following an offseason of significant personnel turnover, with a new point guard in Jeff Teague, a new starting wing in Thaddeus Young, and a new top scorer off the bench in Al Jefferson, among others. 

The betting markets recognized those names; guys with a recent track history of success elsewhere, and have been convinced that the Pacers are primed to be a team on the rise.  But those big name veterans aren’t playing a lick of Read more

Tags: NBA Philadelphia 76ers Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers


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