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May

20

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Las Vegas sportsbooks offer blueprint on how to be successful

05.16.2018     08:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
For states looking to open sportsbooks, the logical blueprint is that of Las Vegas. William Hill is already positioned to operate at Monmouth Park. MGM and Caesars have casinos all across the country. Westgate SuperBook manager Jay Kornegay points out that sportsbooks have a very small margin, meaning in order to turn a profit, they need to be run correctly.


“Most of those that are operating in Las Vegas today are operating in other markets around the country,’’ he said. “I can assure you that those companies are excited about the possibility of bringing their expertise into these other markets as they consider sports betting."

“A Las Vegas sports book works on a very slim margin and its the lowest hold percentage of any casino game offered,’’ he said. “Not to mention it’s very expensive to operate.

“The potential operators out there really need to understand not only how a book operates, but also the financials of a book before they put

Read more



Tags: Las Vegas




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees

05.08.2018     09:23 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boston (Pomeranz) at New York (Severino)
Recommendation: New York Team Total OVER 4.5

When healthy, Boston's Drew Pomeranz has proven to be an effective American League arm. Last season he posted a stellar 3.32 ERA and 9.02 K rate over 173 innings. But throughout his career, he's battled mechanics and health and when not right, Pomeranz quickly becomes very hittable. During spring training, the lefty had arm trouble and was placed on the DL. Since his return, it's clear he's not even close to 100%. The biggest red flag is Pomeranz's velocity. Last year his 4-seamer was consistently 91-92 mph. This year, all three starts show him at 89 mph. This has lead to a paltry 8.9% soft hit rate (20.3% in 2017) and 42.2% hard hit rate (32.5% in 2017). His swinging strike rate has also dropped from 10% to 7% and his average exit velocity is up close to 3 MPH. Then there is the concern about tonight's step up in class. Pomeranz drew the A's, Rays, and Royals his first three starts. Now he's on the road against one of the best offenses in baseball. And 2018’s R/L splits (.659 SLG vs. R, .286 SLG vs. L) are even more pronounced than his career Read more



Tags: MLB Boston Red Sox New York Yankees Andrew Lange




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants

04.30.2018     10:46 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Diego (Lauer) at San Francisco (Samardzija) -160 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Over

San Diego was looking for the same lightning in a bottle effect that they’ve gotten from rookie LH starter Joey Lucchesi when they called up fellow rookie southpaw Eric Lauer last week. The results were drastically different as Lauer allowed 10 base runners and six earned runs in his three innings of work against Colorado. In fairness, Coors Field is not an ideal venue for a rookie pitcher to make his first MLB start so we’re likely to get a truer feel for what Lauer may be when he throws in pitcher friendly AT&T park tonight. In his debut, Lauer was basically a two pitch pitcher throwing his fastball (69%) & cutter (23%) on 68 of his 74 pitches. He averaged 91 MPH on his fastball and 87 on the cutter so there wasn’t much variation speed or pitch wise in his short stint. Deceptiveness in his delivery has helped propel him to the big leagues (had 19 strikeouts in 18 Minor league innings prior to Colorado start) so tonight will be another chance.

San Francisco very quietly has begun to hit much better scoring 4 runs or Read more



Tags: MLB San Diego Padres San Francisco Giants Rob Veno




MLB Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs

04.26.2018     09:38 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Milwaukee (Anderson) at Chicago (Hendricks) -150 O/U 8.5
Recommendation: Over

Yes, the Cubs got shut down in Cleveland last night, held to just a single run on five hits. But that was the exception to the rule for Joe Maddon’s squad, because this potent lineup has been on fire. They’ve scored eight runs or more five times in their last eight games, cashing only two Under tickets in the process; a lineup that legitimately has no holes. Every Cubs starter got a hit on Tuesday Night and eight of the nine scored a run; getting contributions from all over this lineup.

That’s bad news for Brewers starter Chase Anderson, who has been allowing waaaaaay too many fly balls in early season play. His FIP (fielding independent pitching) shows that problem clearly – his home runs allowed are way up from last year and his strikeouts are way down. That’s why Anderson’s FIP stands at 5.90 in sharp contrast to his 3.25 ERA, a regression waiting to happen.

The Brewers lineup hit Kyle Hendricks hard earlier this month. They faced him five times last year, with solid success – Hendricks notched Read more



Tags: MLB Milwaukee Brewers Chicago Cubs Teddy Covers




NBA Playoff Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Washington Wizards at Toronto Raptors

04.14.2018     08:19 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at Toronto -8 O/U 211
Recommendation: Toronto

The betting markets certainly aren’t sleeping on the Toronto Raptors extended stretch of playoff failures. Make no mistake about it – the Raptors have been a dismal pointspread team in the postseason throughout the Dwayne Casey era, quite literally never living up to betting market expectations.

The results do not lie. The Raptors went 3-6-1 ATS in their ten playoff games last year. They went 7-13 ATS in their 20 playoff games in 2016. In 2015, it was an 0-4 ATS Run as they got swept and in 2014, the Raptors covered only two pointspreads while getting eliminated in the first round in seven games.

When you add up all of that carnage, we’re talking about a 12-27-2 pointspread run in the postseason during the Dwayne Casey era. That includes a truly ugly run in Game 1’s: 11 SU losses in 12 tries as a franchise, including an 0-7 SU and ATS record in Game 1’s over the last four postseasons.

No surprise here that the betting public has been more than a little reluctant to put their $$ on the Raptors as big home chalk in Game 1 Read more



Tags: NBA Washington Wizards Toronto Raptors Teddy Covers




NHL Playoff Series Free Betting Pick: Columbus Blue Jackets vs. Washington Capitals

04.10.2018     10:36 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Columbus +110 vs. Washington
Series Recommendation: Columbus

The Washington Capitals have been a perennial playoff team in the Alex Ovechkin era since 2008 as the Capitals have made the playoffs in nine of their last 10 seasons but they have not advanced beyond the second round in their previous nine playoff appearances during that span. Regular season success has not equated to playoff success for this team and that is despite multiple coaches being behind the bench. Washington will look to finally shake those playoff demons this time around but I think they will be in tough to even advance past the very opening round matched up against a Columbus Blue Jackets squad that played its best hockey in the final month of the season winning 13 of their last 16 regular season games excluding their final game against Nashville in which head coach John Tortorella opted to rest most of his top players in a meaningless season finale. Washington head coach Barry Trotz is rolling the dice with his goaltending entering the playoffs opting to go with Philipp Grubauer in net who had a good season but has no playoff experience over veteran netminder Read more



Tags: NHL Columbus Blue Jackets Washington Capitals Ian Cameron




MLB Handicapper Free Gambling Pick: Houston Astros at Texas Rangers

03.30.2018     10:41 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston (Keuchel) at Texas (Fister) O/U
Recommendation: Houston -1.5 -120

From all indications, the defending World Series champs are primed to be every bit as good in 2018, and there’s no reason to expect any sort of hangover. Dallas Keuchel: “We’re not the Cubs”; in reference to Chicago’s ‘hangover’ season last year following their World Series title in 2016.

Houston picked up right where they left off last October, taking care of business against the Rangers on opening day. This is a rotation loaded with legitimate aces, like Dallas Keuchel who is starting today. Keuchel dominated the Rangers on three separate occasions last year right here in Arlington – two earned runs allowed in 18.1 innings of work while striking out 22 batters and holding the Rangers to a .206 batting average against.

The Astros bullpen is truly elite – there’s a reason the Rangers notched only six hits at home on opening day; struggling to make contact even after Justin Verlander left the game and scoring their only run on a truly meaningless wild pitch in the ninth inning when Read more



Tags: MLB Houston Astros Texas Rangers Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Free Betting Pick: Kansas State Wildcats Creighton Bluejays

03.14.2018     09:51 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas State +1.5 vs. Creighton O/U 144.5
Recommendation: Kansas State

Creighton’s backstory entering the NCAA Tournament this season follows a similar script as last season. The Bluejays lost arguably their best player midseason a year ago when senior PG Maurice Watson Jr. went out and Greg McDermott’s squad was never quite the same from that point on. They limped to the finish line of the regular season and were bounced by Rhode Island in their first NCAA Tournament game by a score of 84-72. This season, Creighton suffered another harmful midseason injury in January when their best frontcourt player Martin Krampelj who averaged 11.9 points and 8.1 boards per game for the Bluejays suffered a season ending torn ACL. It’s no surprise to see their rebounding rate (which is at 50.5% on the season) fall downward into the mid to high 40% range since that injury. From the time in which Krampelj went out, Creighton again sputtered down the stretch to the tune of 5-7 SU, 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games inside the Big East and much like last season, I think Creighton could be poised for another ‘one and done’ Read more



Tags: College Basketball Kansas State Wildcats Creighton Bluejays Ian Cameron




NCAA Tournament Free Betting Pick: Loyola Ramblers vs. Miami Hurricanes

03.14.2018     09:46 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Loyola-Chicago vs. Miami -2 O/U 133
Recommendation: Miami

What happens when the betting markets fall in love with an underdog? Simple – you end up with a pointspread like this one, where #6 seed Miami is only a two point favorite as I write this on Wednesday over #11 seed Loyola- Chicago. Quite frankly, that pointspread is too low.

Betting markets focus on statistical profiles. The Ramblers have an impressive statistical profile. They rank in the Top 20 nationally in effective field goal percentage from both two point range and three point range. And Loyola ranks in the Top 25 nationally in defensive efficiency; putting up impressive numbers on both ends of the court. Throw in a 28-5 SU record and you can understand why wiseguys have been flocking to the Ramblers in early betting action.

What happens when the betting markets don’t have much of a sample size for mid-majors as they step up in class? Simple – any win they notched against a quality foe gets factored into the equation like it was a HUGE deal. Loyola played one true ‘step-up-in-class’ game all year. They won that game SU, at Read more



Tags: College Basketball Loyola Ramblers Miami Hurricanes Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Free Play: UNC Asheville at USC Trojans

03.13.2018     08:30 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UNC Asheville +16.5 at USC O/U 152
Recommendation: UNC Asheville

Sometimes, power ratings, pointspreads, and matchups don't mean a thing in these secondary tournaments. Two of the biggest factors come down to travel and motivation. Both factors are pulling against one another in tonight's UNC-Asheville-USC matchup. The Bulldogs, who won the Big South regular season, will make the cross country trek to Los Angeles. Meanwhile, the Trojans were arguably the most deserving team to not get into the NCAA Tournament and are justifiably upset.

“The feeling is the same,’ Enfield said of frustration held over from Sunday’s bracket reveal. “It doesn’t go away in a day. Because we should be in the NCAA Tournament. We deserve to be, and we’re one of the best at-large teams out there.”

Enfield went as far as to say he may sit players who are not 100 percent healthy and/or could risk injury and thus damage their stock as a pro prospect. And by all accounts, if it was up to Enfield and his players, they would have passed on the NIT bid. USC is talented enough to beat Asheville Read more



Tags: College Basketball UNC Asheville Bulldogs USC Trojans OTTO Sports



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"Big Ten'"

May

18


 
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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   May 20, 2018 10:36 AM.