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November

19

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College Football Betting Preview: UAB Blazers at Florida Gators

11.15.2017     10:16 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UAB at Florida
Saturday, 1 pm PT - SEC Network
CRIS Opener: Florida -10.5 O/U 48
CRIS Current: Florida -10.5 O/U 48
Recommendation: Over

Not much of anything to play for other than pride in this matchup as UAB heads to Florida for a late season non-conference affair. The Blazers have been on of the biggest overachievers in the country this season with a 7-3 record (8-2 ATS). But there isn't much on the line their last two games with bowl eligibility wrapped up and North Texas having already clinched the West Division. The Gators, who fired head coach Jim McElwain two weeks ago, have lost five straight and will obviously not be participating in the postseason. Their focus is likely on not getting embarrassed at home against a mid-major.

Interesting angle to consider here is the schedule for both squads. UAB has not played a single Power 5 team this season. In fact, they haven't faced a team inside Sagarin's top 100; North Texas (100th) their "toughest" opponent. Florida meanwhile has not played a single non-Power 5 squad. Vanderbilt (97th) was their weakest foe Read more



Tags: College Football UAB Blazers C-USA Florida Gators SEC Andrew Lange




College Football Betting: Missouri's power rating continues to skyrocket

11.14.2017     12:06 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There hasn't been a bigger midseason turnaround in college football than the Missouri Tigers. After opening the season 1-5 SU and 0-4 ATS, Mizzou has ripped off four straight wins and six straight covers. Their early season struggles were simple: the offense couldn't score and the defense was atrocious. But of late, it's been the complete opposite. Missouri has won its last four games by an average margin of 53.8-16.5. The most surprising improvement has been defensively. Yes, the competition wasn't exactly potent (Idaho, UConn, Florida, and Tennessee) but this is a unit that opened the year coughing up 43 to Missouri State. But the real story here is how much oddsmakers have been forced to adjust Missouri's power rating after beating the spread by 21, 27.5, 26.5, and 32.5 the last four weeks. Consider some of Missouri's previous pointspreads and compare them to the -8.5 it is laying on Saturday at Vanderbilt: -1.5 at home vs. Florida, -13.5 at UConn, and +8.5 at Kentucky. Nuts, Read more



Tags: College Football Missouri Tigers Vanderbilt Commodores SEC




College Football Handicapping: SEC has fared well ATS in late season non-conference games

11.14.2017     11:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The SEC is unique in that you see a lot of late season non-conference matchups. They mostly involve an SEC team playing host and laying big points to non-power five teams. Below are the results, which this season have been very positive for the SEC: 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS. Note that there are four such matchups this weekend.

Missouri: The Tigers faced Idaho and UConn back-to-back weeks and easily won and covered both games.

Vanderbilt: Won and covered two weeks ago vs. Western Kentucky.

Ole Miss: Won and covered as -23 home favorites vs. UL-Lafayette last week.

Arkansas: Needed a miracle to slip past Coastal Carolina as -24.5 home favorites two weeks ago.

Mississippi State - Won but failed to cover vs. UMass two weeks ago.

Texas A&M: Won and covered vs. New Mexico last week.

Tennessee: Won and covered vs. Southern Miss two weeks ago.

Auburn: -36 vs. UL-Monroe on Saturday

Florida: -10 vs. UAB on Saturday

South Carolina: N/L vs. Wofford on Saturday

Alabama: N/L vs. Mercer on Saturday




Tags: College Football SEC




NFL Handicapper Betting Preview: Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons

11.11.2017     08:53 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.

Dallas at Atlanta
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener: Atlanta -3 O/U 50.5
CRIS Current: Atlanta -3 O/U 48.5
Recommendation: Dallas

I understand that Zeke Elliott is an impact running back.  I also understand that the Cowboys offensive line is mostly healthy now, and they’ve dominated for the better part of the last month.  Dak Prescott is on fire, leading the team to 28+ points in each of their last six ballgames and making good decisions with the football week after week – he’s thrown only 2 INT’s during that entire six week span.  And the trio of Alfred Morris, Rod Smith and Darren McFadden are more than capable of filling the void left by Elliott’s suspension.

The mainstream narrative is so predictable it’s not even funny.  I’ve seen so many ridiculous quotes suggesting Dak Prescott will need to throw 50 times (he’s thrown more than 40 passes only twice in his 24 career starts) or Dallas has Read more



Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Atlanta Falcons Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Orlando Magic at Phoenix Suns

11.10.2017     12:09 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Orlando -3.5 at Phoenix O/U 226
Recommendation: Orlando

Here’s the key quote, from Suns veteran big man Jared Dudley, after Phoenix lost their fourth straight game earlier in the week: "We are going to have a problem with consistency throughout the year... Since Jay took over, we might have had one or one-and-a-half practices. We've had a lot of games, and there is only so much you can go over, so much film you can do. I think he's a done great job so far. I just think that we need to ride this stretch before next week beginning a couple practices and going over certain things that we need to go through on the defensive end."

The Suns have gotten a little bit better since Jay Triano took over for Earl Watson following their dismal start, at least from an effort standpoint. But from a defensive standpoint, the Suns remain a bottom five team. It’s the same story on offense, no surprise for a team that suspended, then traded their starting point guard, leaving D-League veteran (but undrafted NBA rookie) Mike James as the starter at the point. This is not a strong homecourt either, as clearly evidenced by the Suns Read more



Tags: NBA Orlando Magic Phoenix Suns Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Preview: SMU Mustangs at Navy Midshipmen

11.10.2017     09:22 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
SMU at Navy
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBSC
CRIS Opener: Navy -4.5 O/U 67
CRIS Current: Navy -3.5 O/U 68
Recommendation: SMU

After starting the season 5-0, Navy's schedule started to tighten and they find itself on a rare three-game losing streak. The SOS difficulty continues on Saturday with a very capable SMU coming to town. The Mustangs rank among the nation's leaders in pass plays beyond 20 yards (49). That spells problems for a Navy secondary that has routinely been exposed against potent passing attacks. The Midshipmen surrendered 34, 31, 30 and 45 points in their last four games; showing an inability to get stops or get off the field on third down.

On the flip side, Navy’s triple option attack has not been as reliable as it’s been in past seasons. Offensively, the Middies are down about a half yard per play compared to 2016. And of over their last three games, they’ve averaged a very pedestrian 5.0 ypp. SMU’s defense is far from elite, but if you eliminate games vs. upper-tier TCU and UCF, the Mustangs are allowing a respectable 5.8 Read more



Tags: College Football SMU Mustangs Navy Midshipmen AAC Ian Cameron




College Football Gambling: Illinois down a DC and a ton of players to injury

11.07.2017     08:03 AM     Printer Friendly
Illinois head coach Lovie Smith will take over the defense this weekend against Indiana with defensive coordinator Hardy Nickerson absent due to the death of his mother. After opening the season 2-0, Illinois has lost seven straight (2-5 ATS). During that span, the Illini were outscored 232-106; coming within single digits only once (24-17 loss at Minnesota). Not only has Illinois suffered from its "youth movement" but also a seemingly neverending list of injuries. Indiana meanwhile has played arguably the toughest schedule in the Big Ten with having to face Wisconsin, Michigan State, Michigan, Penn State, and Ohio State. But, it their one step-down-in-class spot, the Hoosiers lost outright at Maryland, 42-39, as -6.5 chalk.


A total of 18 players missed Saturday’s loss at Purdue. Of that number, 12 have started and a 13th, linebacker Jake Hansen, was on track to start before he suffered a season-ending knee injury prior to the season opener. 






Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Indiana Hoosiers Big Ten




NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks

11.06.2017     01:36 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boston -8 at Atlanta O/U 204.5
Recommendation: Boston

The Celtics lost Gordon Hayward five minutes into the season. Boston lost on opening night, then lost the following night at home to Milwaukee. The betting markets immediately devalued Boston; a team with a whole host of new faces just learning to play with one another. That was a mistake!
Head coach Brad Stevens has worked his magic. The Celtics haven’t lost since that defeat to the Bucks on the second night of the season. That includes road wins, by margin, at Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Miami, Orlando and OKC; all of whom are better than the bottom feeder Hawks team they’ll face today.

The Celtics enter Sunday with the #1defense in the NBA, allowing fewer than 96 points per 100 possessions. That’s bad news for a Hawks team that ranks #26 in offensive efficiency this season. Other than veteran point guard Dennis Schroder, this is not a team loaded with playmakers. When the Hawks aren’t draining three’s, they’re a rough team to watch (or bet on). And, frankly, not many teams are draining three’s against this stout Boston Read more



Tags: NBA Boston Celtics Atlanta Hawks Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans

11.03.2017     11:50 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at Tennessee
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener: Tennessee -4 O/U 43
CRIS Current: Tennessee -3.5 OU 43
Recommendation: Tennessee

The betting markets didn’t pay much attention when Will Fuller was activated for the Houston Texans heading into Week 4. The 1-2 Texans had already made the switch to Deshaun Watson at QB, but they were still averaging less than 18 points per game. With their deep threat back in the lineup, the entire offense started to click, and Houston proceeded to score 57, 34, 33 and 38 in their next four ball games. Fuller wasn’t (and isn’t) the focal point of the offense – he’s only caught 13 passes in the four games since his return. But his ability to stretch the field forces opposing defenses to respect his playmaking ability, opening up the running game and the shorter routes for other receivers to take advantage of.

What does any of this have to do with this week's game? Simple – Corey Davis is expected back in the lineup for the Titans this week! Tennessee’s #1 draft choice (the #5 Read more



Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Tennessee Titans Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Preview: LSU Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide

11.02.2017     11:22 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LSU at Alabama
Saturday, 5 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener: Alabama -20 O/U 50
CRIS Current: Alabama -21 O/U 48.5
Recommendation: Alabama

LSU has had its fair share of issues this season. The passing game, Ed Orgeron sticking his nose in where it doesn't belong, Danny Etling, Matt Canada's new offense...the list goes on. But when they Tigers have really struggled, all of those things take a back seat to offensive line play. With a handful of young and inexperienced players, LSU's o-line has had an extremely difficult time both pass and run blocking. The run game is still averaging over 200 ypg but more by attrition (42.6 attempts per game) than ability. Compared to last season, the Tigers are down a full yard per carry (5.07). This weekend's matchup has the potential to expose this unit in a big way.

Alabama's strength of schedule thus far doesn't look all that impressive in large part because a majority of their opponents have vastly underachieved. But the ability to dominate no matter who the foe is obviously still there. The Crimson Tide have outscored their five Read more



Tags: College Football LSU Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide SEC Andrew Lange



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"Big Ten'"

November

18


 
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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Nov 19, 2017 11:28 AM.